Volume 30, Number 12 · July 21, 1983

The Cosmic Bluff

By George W. Ball

NATO's nuclear strategy is founded on illusion—with a large component of self-deception: the dubious hope that America's nuclear threat will permanently deter the Soviet Union from attacking Western Europe with conventional forces. That threat—the pretense of a winning hand in a transcendental poker game—is becoming every day less persuasive. The Soviets know as well as we that, should our bluff be called, whether by accident or design or the momentum of actions and reactions that escape the control of both sides, the president would face two unacceptable options. He could either precipitate mutual catastrophe or capitulate.



Feature, 5763 words

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