Contents


How He Got It Right

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don’t by Nate Silver

The Physics of Wall Street: A Brief History of Predicting the Unpredictable by James Owen Weatherall

Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The Gentle Genius

Late Raphael an exhibition at the Museo Nacional del Prado, Madrid, June 12–September 16, 2012, and the Musée du Louvre, Paris, October 8, 2012–January 14, 2013

Birds: The Inner Life

Bird Sense: What It’s Like to Be a Bird by Tim Birkhead

The Bluebird Effect: Uncommon Bonds with Common Birds by Julie Zickefoose

The Feathery Tribe: Robert Ridgway and the Modern Study of Birds by Daniel Lewis

John James Audubon’s Journal of 1826: The Voyage to The Birds of America edited and with an introduction by Daniel Patterson

Obsessions in Tokyo

Tokyo 1955–1970: A New Avant-Garde an exhibition at the Museum of Modern Art, New York City, November 18, 2012–February 25, 2013

Art Theater Guild and Japanese Underground Cinema, 1962–1984 a film series at the Museum of Modern Art, New York City, December 6, 2012–February 10, 2013

Will Saudi Arabia Ever Change?

On Saudi Arabia: Its People, Past, Religion, Fault Lines—and Future by Karen Elliott House

Saudi Arabia on the Edge: The Uncertain Future of an American Ally by Thomas W. Lippman

Politics and Society in Saudi Arabia: The Crucial Years of Development, 1960–1982 by Sarah Yizraeli

Poland: Malice, Death, Survival

The Eagle Unbowed: Poland and the Poles in the Second World War by Halik Kochanski

Iron Curtain: The Crushing of Eastern Europe, 1944–1956 by Anne Applebaum

In Search of Lost Meaning: The New Eastern Europe by Adam Michnik, translated from the Polish by Roman S. Czarny

Contributors

John Banville’s most recent novel is The Blue Guitar. (August 2017)

David Bromwich is Sterling Professor of English at Yale. Moral Imagination, a collection of his essays, was recently published in paperback. (November 2016)

Ian Buruma’s latest book is Their Promised Land: My Grandparents in Love and War. (August 2017)

David Cole is the National Legal Director of the ACLU and the Honorable George J. Mitchell Professor in Law and Public Policy at the Georgetown University Law Center. (June 2017)

Norman Davies is the author of, among other books, Europe: A History, Rising 44: The Battle for Warsaw, and, most recently, Vanished Kingdoms: The History of Half-Forgotten Europe.

 (May 2013)

Hugh Eakin has previously written on Denmark and Norway for The New York Review. (January 2017)

Mark Ford’s latest book is Thomas Hardy: Half a Londoner. He teaches in the English Department at University College London. (August 2017)

Michael Greenberg is the author of Hurry Down Sunshine and Beg, Borrow, and Steal: A Writer’s Life. 
(August 2017)

Andrew Hacker teaches political science and mathematics at Queens College. His new book, The Math Myth and Other STEM ­Delusions, will appear next March.
 (July 2015)

Hermione Lee is President of Wolfson College, Oxford. Her most recent book is a biography of Penelope Fitzgerald. (September 2016)

Richard C. Lewontin is Alexander Agassiz Professor of Zoology and Professor of Biology at Harvard University. He is the author of The Genetic Basis of Evolutionary Change and Biology as Ideology, and the co-author of The Dialectical Biologist (with Richard Levins) and Not in Our Genes (with Steven Rose and Leon Kamin).

Avishai Margalit is Professor Emeritus of Philosophy at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. His latest book, On Betrayal, was published in February.
 (March 2017)

Larry McMurtry lives in Archer City, Texas. His novels include The Last Picture Show, Terms of Endearment, Lonesome Dove (winner of the 1986 Pulitzer Prize for Fiction), Folly and Gloryand Rhino Ranch. His nonfiction works include a biography of Crazy Horse, Walter Benjamin at the Dairy Queen, Paradise, Sacagawea’s Nickname: Essays on the American West and, most recently, Custer.

Jonathan Mirsky is a historian of China. He was formerly the East Asia Editor of The Times of London and China Correspondent for The Observer.
 (December 2016)

Robert O. Paxton is Mellon Professor Emeritus of Social ­Science at Columbia and a historian of twentieth-century France. He is a former President of the Linnaean Society of New York.
 (May 2017)

Caryl Phillips’s latest book is Color Me English: Selected Essays. He is Professor of English at Yale.
 (January 2013)

Ingrid D. Rowland is a Professor at the University of Notre Dame’s Rome Global Gateway. Her new book, The Collector of Lives: Giorgio Vasari and the Invention of Art, cowritten with Noah Charney, will be published in October. (August 2017)

James Salter, who died on June 19, was a novelist and short-story writer whose books included A Sport and a Pastime, Light Years, Dusk and Other ­Stories, and, most recently, All That Is
. (August 2015)

Cathleen Schine’s most recent novel is They May Not Mean to But They Do. (August 2017)

John R. Searle is the Slusser Professor of Philosophy at 
the University of California, Berkeley. His most recent book is ­Making the Social World.
 (October 2014)

Zadie Smith’s new novel, Swing Time, was published in November. (December 2016)

Nomika Zion is a resident of Sderot, Israel, and a member of Other Voice, a grassroots organization that promotes dialogue with Gazans. (January 2013)