Contents


How He Got It Right

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—But Some Don’t by Nate Silver

The Physics of Wall Street: A Brief History of Predicting the Unpredictable by James Owen Weatherall

Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The Gentle Genius

Late Raphael an exhibition at the Museo Nacional del Prado, Madrid, June 12–September 16, 2012, and the Musée du Louvre, Paris, October 8, 2012–January 14, 2013

Birds: The Inner Life

Bird Sense: What It’s Like to Be a Bird by Tim Birkhead

The Bluebird Effect: Uncommon Bonds with Common Birds by Julie Zickefoose

The Feathery Tribe: Robert Ridgway and the Modern Study of Birds by Daniel Lewis

John James Audubon’s Journal of 1826: The Voyage to The Birds of America edited and with an introduction by Daniel Patterson

Obsessions in Tokyo

Tokyo 1955–1970: A New Avant-Garde an exhibition at the Museum of Modern Art, New York City, November 18, 2012–February 25, 2013

Art Theater Guild and Japanese Underground Cinema, 1962–1984 a film series at the Museum of Modern Art, New York City, December 6, 2012–February 10, 2013

Will Saudi Arabia Ever Change?

On Saudi Arabia: Its People, Past, Religion, Fault Lines—and Future by Karen Elliott House

Saudi Arabia on the Edge: The Uncertain Future of an American Ally by Thomas W. Lippman

Politics and Society in Saudi Arabia: The Crucial Years of Development, 1960–1982 by Sarah Yizraeli

Poland: Malice, Death, Survival

The Eagle Unbowed: Poland and the Poles in the Second World War by Halik Kochanski

Iron Curtain: The Crushing of Eastern Europe, 1944–1956 by Anne Applebaum

In Search of Lost Meaning: The New Eastern Europe by Adam Michnik, translated from the Polish by Roman S. Czarny

Contributors

John Banville’s Time Pieces: A Dublin Memoir is published in February. (February 2018)

David Bromwich is Sterling Professor of English at Yale. His recent books include The Intellectual Life of Edmund Burke and Moral Imagination, a collection of essays.
 (November 2018)

Ian Buruma is the author of numerous books, including Murder in Amsterdam: The Death of Theo Van Gogh and the Limits of Tolerance, Year Zero: A History of 1945, and, most recently, A Tokyo Romance.

David Cole is the National Legal Director of the ACLU and the Honorable George J. Mitchell Professor in Law and Public Policy at the Georgetown University Law Center. His most recent book is Engines of Liberty: How Citizen Movements Succeed. 
(September 2018)

Norman Davies is the author of, among other books, Europe: A History, Rising 44: The Battle for Warsaw, and, most recently, Vanished Kingdoms: The History of Half-Forgotten Europe.

 (May 2013)

Hugh Eakin is the Gilder Lehrman Fellow in American History at the Cullman Center for Scholars and Writers. (November 2017)

Mark Ford’s fourth collection of poetry, Enter, Fleeing, was published earlier this year.
 (November 2018)

Michael Greenberg is the author of Hurry Down Sunshine and Beg, Borrow, and Steal: A Writer’s Life.
 (December 2018))

Andrew Hacker teaches political science at Queens College. He is currently working on a book about the Republican Party. (September 2018)

Hermione Lee was President of Wolfson College, Oxford, from 2008 until 2017. Her most recent book is a biography of Penelope Fitzgerald.
 (July 2018)

Richard C. Lewontin is Alexander Agassiz Professor of Zoology and Professor of Biology at Harvard University. He is the author of The Genetic Basis of Evolutionary Change and Biology as Ideology, and the co-author of The Dialectical Biologist (with Richard Levins) and Not in Our Genes (with Steven Rose and Leon Kamin).

Avishai Margalit is Professor Emeritus of Philosophy 
at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. His most recent book is On Betrayal. (March 2018)

Larry McMurtry lives in Archer City, Texas. His novels include The Last Picture Show, Terms of Endearment, Lonesome Dove (winner of the 1986 Pulitzer Prize for Fiction), Folly and Gloryand Rhino Ranch. His nonfiction works include a biography of Crazy Horse, Walter Benjamin at the Dairy Queen, Paradise, Sacagawea’s Nickname: Essays on the American West and, most recently, Custer.

Jonathan Mirsky is a historian of China. He was formerly the East Asia Editor of The Times of London and China Correspondent for The Observer.
 (December 2016)

Robert O. Paxton is Mellon Professor Emeritus of Social Science at Columbia and the author of The Anatomy of Fascism, Vichy France, and, with Julie Hessler, Europe in the Twentieth Century, among other works.
 (December 2018)

Caryl Phillips’s eleventh novel, A View of the Empire at Sunset, will be published next year.
 (November 2017)

Ingrid D. Rowland is a Professor at the University of Notre Dame’s Rome Global Gateway. Her latest book is The Collector of Lives: Giorgio ­Vasari and the Invention of Art, cowritten with Noah Charney.
 (June 2018)

James Salter, who died on June 19, was a novelist and short-story writer whose books included A Sport and a Pastime, Light Years, Dusk and Other ­Stories, and, most recently, All That Is
. (August 2015)

Cathleen Schine’s latest novel is They May Not Mean to but They Do. (August 2018)

John R. Searle is the Slusser Professor of Philosophy at 
the University of California, Berkeley. His most recent book is ­Making the Social World.
 (October 2014)

Zadie Smith’s new novel, Swing Time, was published in November. (December 2016)

Nomika Zion is a resident of Sderot, Israel, and a member of Other Voice, a grassroots organization that promotes dialogue with Gazans. (January 2013)